Christian Whitson, a former U.S. State Department senior adviser and a principal at DC International Advisory, has a magnificent piece he has written. Why Washington Is Shocked, Shocked By Newt Gingrich’s Rise Over Mitt Romney details many of the precise reasons the American people are flocking to Speaker Gingrich much to the dismay of establishment Republicans.
One of the more enjoyable spectacles out of Washington lately has been the horror of establishment Beltway Republicans that Newt Gingrich just might be their presidential nominee, having jumped ahead of Mitt Romney in recent polls. The cause of this is simple if often disguised: Newt is the opposite of everything they just know to be true.
Take for example Peggy Noonan, who pronounced Gingrich all but dead in May, noting “I have yet to meet a Gingrich 2012 supporter.”
This clearly baffles Ms. Noonan, whose writing I mostly agree with. She is so entrenched within the mainstream government status quo, she has yet to meet anyone who is supporting the GOP frontrunner. Mr. Gingrich is leading in national polls by over 10% and many state polls by more than this. Clearly, Ms. Noonan is out of touch, which is why she is flabbergasted by Gingrich’s surge.
After all, this basically remains the Republican establishment that ran both of the federal government’s political branches for the better part of the last decade and managed to achieve essentially no conservative goals. The establishment Republicans didn’t merely acquiesce to big government implications of George W. Bush’s “compassionate conservatism” – they insisted on it. More than a few Bush officials who visited Capitol Hill lamented that it was difficult to tell the difference between Republicans and Democrats on spending issues. While President Obama has normalized trillion-dollar deficits, establishment Republicans got us halfway there during the previous decade.
Do not suppose Beltway Republicans have found religion since. Recall Republican Speaker Boehner claiming earlier this year that he would cut $100 billion of government spending—a modest goal considering the federal budget now exceeds $3500 billion. That cut soon became $61 billion, then a mere $39 billion (and realistically nothing when gimmicks are excluded). And Republicans share with Democrats parenthood of the subsequent ‘Super Committee’ fiasco.
The public is sick and tired of this “hogwash” from BOTH parties. They are looking for spending cuts and government reform. They have not gotten this under either party. In fact, the last time we actually saw some control was when? Wait for it…when Mr. Gingrich was the Speaker of the House. We actually had balanced budgets and other items of real progress.
Now reenter Newt Gingrich, the man whom Republican Washington just knows failed as Speaker of the House, despite the welfare, capital gains tax and balanced budget reforms that bear his fingerprints.
On EPA replacement, for example, Gingrich says: “I don’t think you can train the current bureaucrats. I think their bias against capitalism, their bias against local government, their bias against economic rationality, is just amazing.”
Here, Gingrich is revealing his reverence for Andrew Jackson, who in his presidency succeeded in replacing fully one-fifth of the federal bureaucracy, seeing this as a requirement for radical change.
I keep hearing folks talk about Gingrich shutting down the government as a bad thing. While we would not want this long term, I think the American people are truly yearning for someone that will take a strong stance on the issues of limiting government spending and control. Someone that is willing to shut down the government if that is what it takes.
The idea of reversing federal growth is fine to keep on the wish list, but those who advocate it seriously are seen as rubes—either new arrivals in Washington who just fell off a turnip truck or unsophisticated congressmen from ‘flyover country.’ To be a true Beltway Republican is to have accepted the assumption that the scope of government cannot be radically altered. And they think it is politically foolish to try.
Thus the establishment just knows that you run a moderate like Mitt Romney for president. Conservatives have no place else to go and independents will be attracted—historical evidence to the contrary be damned.
Gingrich challenges this, believing 2012 may be one of those historical turning points where voters will be most attracted by a candidate who offers a radical divergence.
I truly think this will be the case this year. Folks do not want Mitt Romney just because he has a better chance to win. People want a President they can truly stand behind and one who has ideas for real change that will not cripple the country but will revitalize it. They like that fact that Gingrich is a little bit extreme. Romney’s moderate infuriates people that clearly want real change. Washington insiders just cannot wrap their heads around this, but the American people can.
See more of my commentary leading up to the 2012 Election